Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.261224 0.306835 0.355290 0.410322 0.470817 0.535029 0.608078
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.202958 0.265378 0.336206 0.421424 0.520089 0.629709 0.759677
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.154190 0.224837 0.310359 0.418902 0.550446 0.702326 0.888537
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.113241 0.185758 0.279660 0.405265 0.564149 0.754069 0.993831
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.091036 0.166453 0.270131 0.415084 0.604895 0.838008 1.138915
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068467 0.141837 0.249614 0.407474 0.621551 0.891550 1.247586
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.058081 0.133370 0.249947 0.426822 0.672912 0.989234 1.412627
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045475 0.118323 0.238284 0.427611 0.698451 1.053666 1.536577
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.035643 0.105645 0.228236 0.429131 0.724001 1.117838 1.660727
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.029388 0.098166 0.225326 0.440429 0.762884 1.199925 1.809039
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.024833 0.092980 0.225404 0.455789 0.807503 1.290181 1.969153
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021026 0.088374 0.225758 0.471177 0.852193 1.381043 2.131188
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015394 0.077435 0.213421 0.465631 0.866406 1.431344 2.241727
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011978 0.071001 0.208641 0.471942 0.898238 1.506532 2.386797
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008363 0.061950 0.197177 0.465781 0.910407 1.553956 2.494716
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005105 0.051455 0.180666 0.449112 0.905025 1.575678 2.567267
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003825 0.047876 0.178805 0.458400 0.940571 1.656620 2.722344
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002268 0.040933 0.167707 0.449533 0.946274 1.693887 2.816880
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001852 0.040232 0.171869 0.469740 0.999741 1.801979 3.011735
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001132 0.036012 0.166175 0.470309 1.020605 1.861975 3.139431
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000651 0.032355 0.161201 0.471765 1.042705 1.923895 3.270330
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000425 0.030670 0.161469 0.483702 1.082636 2.013001 3.440712
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000291 0.029761 0.163849 0.499994 1.130212 2.114106 3.629036